Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Stadion Woudestein

Excelsior

1 - 1

FC Volendam

Our Tip

Match Events

Pauwels B.

Assist: Bacuna J.

38'

Yah G.

Own Goal

43'

Verschuren N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Excelsior

Draws

FC Volendam

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Excelsior at 2.75 per game, FC Volendam at 1.38.
Excelsior are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Excelsior Clean Sheet 18%

FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Excelsior	FC Volendam
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	8	5
Losses	11	15
Goals Scored	2.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eredivisie

Excelsior vs FC Volendam

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Sep 20, 2025 Eredivisie

FC Volendam vs Excelsior

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Apr 20, 2025 Eerste Divisie

FC Volendam vs Excelsior

Possession: 51% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

1:4

Dec 13, 2024 Eerste Divisie

Excelsior vs FC Volendam

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Apr 12, 2024 Eredivisie

Excelsior vs FC Volendam

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Excelsior Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

FC Volendam Compare

Top Goalscorer Pauwels B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100

FC Volendam 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Excelsior FC Volendam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: FC Volendam conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Excelsior remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS FC Volendam

2.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 63%

75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSV	34	27	3	4	101:45	84
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	65
3	Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	59
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	58
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	56
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	52
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	51
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	43
11	Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	39
12	G.A. Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	38
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	38
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	37
15	Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	37
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	32
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	29
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	19