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Excelsior vs Jeanne d'Arc

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Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 game between Excelsior and Jeanne d'Arc finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
31%
Jeanne d'Arc
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeanne d'Arc haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Jeanne d'Arc Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Jeanne d'Arc
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.13 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Jeanne d'Arc
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Regionale 1
Jeanne d'Arc vs Excelsior
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Jeanne d'Arc
2:0
Apr 21, 2024 Regionale 1
Jeanne d'Arc vs Excelsior
1:0
Oct 22, 2023 Regionale 1
Jeanne d'Arc vs Excelsior
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
Jeanne d'Arc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Jeanne d'Arc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Excelsior went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jeanne d'Arc let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS Jeanne d'Arc
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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Jeanne d'Arc

(Away)
23 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 6
Tamponnaise
09 Nov
Saint-Denis
2 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
02 Nov
Jeanne d'Arc
1 : 2
Sainte Rose
19 Oct
Trois Bassins
1 : 2
Jeanne d'Arc
11 Oct
Jeanne d'Arc
3 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
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