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Excelsior vs Marinoise

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excelsior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Excelsior
15%
Draws
0%
Marinoise
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Excelsior have won more games recently than Marinoise.
  • Model gives Excelsior a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Marinoise Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Marinoise
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 1
Draws 3 2
Losses 20 27
Goals Scored 1.1 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.9 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Excelsior vs Marinoise
3:2
Nov 28, 2015 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Marinoise vs Excelsior
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 47 / 100
Marinoise 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Marinoise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marinoise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Marinoise lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Excelsior scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
13 May
Excelsior
2 : 2
JS Eucalyptus
06 May
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 2
Excelsior
29 Apr
Excelsior
0 : 2
Golden Lion
23 Apr
Excelsior
1 : 3
Golden Star
08 Apr
Club Colonial
6 : 0
Excelsior
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Marinoise

(Away)
14 May
New Star Ducos
5 : 2
Marinoise
07 May
Marinoise
0 : 6
RC Riviere-Pilote
30 Apr
Excelsior
3 : 2
Marinoise
23 Apr
Golden Star
1 : 0
Marinoise
16 Apr
Marinoise
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
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