Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Excelsior vs Saint Louis

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Excelsior
30%
Draws
23%
Saint Louis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint Louis haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Excelsior have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 20%
Saint Louis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Saint Louis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint Louis
1:1
May 11, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint Louis vs Excelsior
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Regionale 1
Saint Louis vs Excelsior
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 Regionale 1
Excelsior vs Saint Louis
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Regionale 1
Saint Louis vs Excelsior
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 85 / 100
Saint Louis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Saint Louis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Excelsior scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Saint Louis has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Excelsior went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS Saint Louis
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
23 Nov
Excelsior
4 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Excelsior
3 : 0
Riviere des Galets
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Excelsior
0 : 2
Saint-Pauloise FC
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Saint Louis

(Away)
23 Nov
Saint Louis
2 : 2
Sainte Rose
09 Nov
Trois Bassins
2 : 1
Saint Louis
02 Nov
Saint Louis
0 : 0
Saint-Louisienne
19 Oct
Marsouins
1 : 1
Saint Louis
12 Oct
Saint Louis
1 : 0
Riviere des Galets
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