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Excelsior vs Veendam Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie 2012/2013
Mon, Apr 8, 2013
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Excelsior host Veendam in the Eerste Divisie 2012/2013. This one's hard to separate. Veendam have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Excelsior have conceded 1.43 and scored 2.03. Head-to-head, Excelsior have won 2 to Veendam's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2013, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.73 vs 1.25, favoring Veendam. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Excelsior
20%
Draws
34%
Veendam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Excelsior have won more games recently than Veendam.
  • Win probability leans Excelsior's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 19%
Veendam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Excelsior Veendam
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.03 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2013 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Veendam
0:0
Nov 23, 2012 Eerste Divisie
Veendam vs Excelsior
3:2
Apr 2, 2010 Eerste Divisie
Veendam vs Excelsior
2:1
Aug 21, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Excelsior vs Veendam
2:0
May 1, 2009 Eerste Divisie
Veendam vs Excelsior
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Excelsior 49 / 100
Veendam 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Excelsior Veendam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excelsior scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Veendam let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Excelsior has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Excelsior VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Excelsior

(Home)
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2
Excelsior
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3
Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6

Veendam

(Away)
22 Mar
Zwolle
1 : 0
Veendam
15 Mar
Veendam
2 : 1
TOP Oss
08 Mar
Den Bosch
4 : 1
Veendam
04 Mar
Cambuur
1 : 3
Veendam
01 Mar
Veendam
0 : 4
FC Volendam
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambuur 30 19 4 7 59:33 61
2 FC Volendam 30 19 3 8 70:43 60
3 Sparta Rotterdam 30 16 7 7 59:36 55
4 Helmond Sport 30 15 10 5 55:45 55
5 Maastricht 30 14 8 8 56:44 50
6 G.A. Eagles 30 13 9 8 60:46 48
7 Sittard 30 13 7 10 39:33 46
8 De Graafschap 30 12 9 9 57:41 45
9 Dordrecht 30 11 7 12 56:56 40
10 TOP Oss 30 10 7 13 40:57 37
11 Den Bosch 30 10 5 15 38:49 35
12 FC Emmen 30 8 8 14 38:52 32
13 Almere City 30 10 1 19 41:67 31
14 Telstar 30 7 8 15 31:46 29
15 Excelsior 30 4 9 17 39:63 21
16 Eindhoven FC 30 5 6 19 40:67 21
17 Apeldoorn 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Veendam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)
Promotion - Eerste Divisie 2012/2013 (Promotion)