Sport Picks
Excursionistas vs Ituzaingo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
12'
12'
Mantovani E.
24'
24'
Maza J.
42'
42'
Sub
Campusano M. In: Salvadores J.
Out: Campusano M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Excursionistas and Ituzaingo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Excursionistas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Excursionistas a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excursionistas | Ituzaingo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Ituzaingo
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas
1:3
Nov 20, 2021 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas
1:0
Oct 13, 2021 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas
1:1
Jun 16, 2021 Primera C
Excursionistas vs Ituzaingo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Chambi L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Avalos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Ituzaingo Compare
Top Goalscorer Maza J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excursionistas 95 / 100
Ituzaingo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excursionistas Ituzaingo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excursionistas scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Ituzaingo conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Excursionistas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Excursionistas VS Ituzaingo
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Excursionistas
(Home) 17 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1 Excursionistas
09 Oct
Excursionistas
4 : 0 Villa San Carlos
03 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Excursionistas
4 : 0 Villa San Carlos
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 3
Ituzaingo
(Away) 17 Oct
Real Pilar
0 : 0 Ituzaingo
10 Oct
Ituzaingo
2 : 2 Argentino de Quilmes
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2 Ituzaingo
25 Sept
Ituzaingo
0 : 1 Defensores Unidos
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1 Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Real Pilar
0 : 0 Ituzaingo
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2 Ituzaingo
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1 Ituzaingo
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
25 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 64:31 | 78 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 40 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 53:26 | 73 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 47:29 | 69 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 42:26 | 68 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 47:32 | 67 |
| 6 | Villa Dalmine | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 39:27 | 65 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42:38 | 62 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42:39 | 62 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 40 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 39:34 | 57 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 49:52 | 55 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 41:45 | 51 |
| 12 | Villa San Carlos | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 40:43 | 50 |
| 13 | Dep. Merlo | 40 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 39:53 | 48 |
| 14 | Dock Sud | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 15 | CSD Liniers | 40 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 33:41 | 45 |
| 16 | Flandria | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 17 | Argentino de Merlo | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 36:44 | 44 |
| 18 | Argentino de Quilmes | 40 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 32:40 | 44 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 25:37 | 43 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 33:40 | 42 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 40 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 23:36 | 39 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 40 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 27:64 | 17 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
