Sport Picks
Excursionistas vs Ituzaingo
Argentina
Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
12'
12'
Mantovani E.
25'
25'
Maza J.
43'
43'
Sub
Campusano M. In: Salvadores J.
Out: Campusano M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Excursionistas and Ituzaingo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Excursionistas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Excursionistas a 65% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excursionistas | Ituzaingo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 1 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Ituzaingo
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas
1:3
Nov 20, 2021 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas
1:0
Oct 13, 2021 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Excursionistas
1:1
Jun 16, 2021 Primera C
Excursionistas vs Ituzaingo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Chambi L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Avalos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Ituzaingo Compare
Top Goalscorer Maza J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excursionistas 86 / 100
Ituzaingo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excursionistas Ituzaingo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excursionistas scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Ituzaingo conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Excursionistas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Excursionistas VS Ituzaingo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Excursionistas
(Home) 29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
22 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
1 : 2 Excursionistas
15 Aug
Excursionistas
5 : 3 Laferrere
08 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 0 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
15 Aug
Excursionistas
5 : 3 Laferrere
31 Jul
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Deportivo Armenio
18 Jul
Excursionistas
0 : 0 Argentino de Quilmes
10 Jul
Excursionistas
1 : 2 Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 3
Ituzaingo
(Away) 29 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 2 Dock Sud
25 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 Ituzaingo
22 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 0 Dep. Merlo
15 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
1 : 1 Ituzaingo
07 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 1 Deportivo Camioneros
Page 1 of 6
25 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0 Ituzaingo
15 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
1 : 1 Ituzaingo
01 Aug
Talleres Remedios Escalada
0 : 0 Ituzaingo
18 Jul
Laferrere
2 : 0 Ituzaingo
10 Jul
Brown Adrogue
0 : 0 Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 45:22 | 63 |
| 3 | Deportivo Camioneros | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 40:20 | 63 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 37:17 | 63 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 35:17 | 60 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 41:26 | 58 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 37:34 | 52 |
| 8 | Comunicaciones | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 34:31 | 49 |
| 9 | Deportivo Armenio | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:44 | 47 |
| 11 | Dock Sud | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 38:35 | 43 |
| 12 | Argentino de Merlo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 30:34 | 41 |
| 13 | San Martin Burzaco | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 31:36 | 41 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 34:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Villa San Carlos | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:38 | 39 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 28:36 | 37 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 27:35 | 37 |
| 18 | Flandria | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 29:42 | 35 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 28:36 | 34 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 21:35 | 34 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 34 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 17:29 | 31 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 34 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 20:53 | 14 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
