Sport Picks
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 
AI Match Summary
Excursionistas in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Italiano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Excursionistas lately — more wins on the board than Sportivo Italiano.
- Win probability leans Excursionistas's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excursionistas | Sportivo Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano
4:0
Jun 13, 2026 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Excursionistas
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano
2:0
Jul 10, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excursionistas 50 / 100
Sportivo Italiano 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excursionistas Sportivo Italiano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Excursionistas scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Excursionistas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Sportivo Italiano let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Excursionistas VS Sportivo Italiano
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Excursionistas
(Home) 17 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1 Excursionistas
09 Oct
Excursionistas
4 : 0 Villa San Carlos
03 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Excursionistas
4 : 0 Villa San Carlos
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Italiano
(Away) 17 Oct
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0 Arsenal Sarandi
11 Oct
Argentino de Merlo
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
04 Oct
Sportivo Italiano
2 : 0 Talleres Remedios Escalada
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Argentino de Merlo
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
29 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
21 Aug
Comunicaciones
1 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 40 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 64:31 | 78 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 40 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 53:26 | 73 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 47:29 | 69 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 42:26 | 68 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 47:32 | 67 |
| 6 | Villa Dalmine | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 39:27 | 65 |
| 7 | Deportivo Armenio | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42:38 | 62 |
| 8 | Real Pilar | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 42:39 | 62 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 40 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 39:34 | 57 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 49:52 | 55 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 40 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 41:45 | 51 |
| 12 | Villa San Carlos | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 40:43 | 50 |
| 13 | Dep. Merlo | 40 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 39:53 | 48 |
| 14 | Dock Sud | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 15 | CSD Liniers | 40 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 33:41 | 45 |
| 16 | Flandria | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 17 | Argentino de Merlo | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 36:44 | 44 |
| 18 | Argentino de Quilmes | 40 | 9 | 17 | 14 | 32:40 | 44 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 25:37 | 43 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 33:40 | 42 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 40 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 23:36 | 39 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 40 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 27:64 | 17 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
