Sport Picks
Excursionistas vs Villa Dalmine
Argentina
Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 
AI Match Summary
Excursionistas host Villa Dalmine in the Primera B. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Excursionistas have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.89 conceded recently, against Villa Dalmine's 1.07 scored and 0.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Excursionistas have won 1 to Villa Dalmine's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.94, favoring Villa Dalmine. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Excursionistas's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Villa Dalmine have produced (1.07).
- Model gives Excursionistas a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excursionistas | Villa Dalmine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excursionistas scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Excursionistas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Villa Dalmine conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Excursionistas
(Home)Villa Dalmine
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal Sarandi | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 45:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 37:17 | 63 |
| 3 | Excursionistas | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 62 |
| 4 | Deportivo Camioneros | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 39:20 | 60 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 35:17 | 60 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 41:26 | 58 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 37:34 | 52 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 39:42 | 46 |
| 11 | Dock Sud | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 38:34 | 43 |
| 12 | Argentino de Merlo | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 30:32 | 41 |
| 13 | San Martin Burzaco | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 31:36 | 41 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 34:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Villa San Carlos | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 34:38 | 38 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 28:35 | 37 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 25:33 | 36 |
| 18 | Flandria | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 29:42 | 35 |
| 19 | Defensores Unidos | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 28:36 | 34 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 21:35 | 33 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 33 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 15:29 | 28 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 19:51 | 14 |
