Sport Picks
Excursionistas vs Villa Dalmine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
14'
14'
Tellas G.
30'
30'
Damiolini N.
45'
45'
Agorreca N.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Excursionistas and Villa Dalmine finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Excursionistas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excursionistas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Excursionistas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Excursionistas a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Dalmine Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Excursionistas | Villa Dalmine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Villa Dalmine
3:0
May 2, 2026 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Excursionistas
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Excursionistas
2:1
Jun 20, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs Villa Dalmine
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs Excursionistas
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Excursionistas Compare
Top Goalscorer Tellas G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gimenez W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Villa Dalmine Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Excursionistas 95 / 100
Villa Dalmine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Excursionistas Villa Dalmine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Excursionistas scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Excursionistas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Villa Dalmine conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Excursionistas VS Villa Dalmine
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Excursionistas
(Home) 17 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 1 Excursionistas
09 Oct
Excursionistas
4 : 0 Villa San Carlos
03 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 0 Excursionistas
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2 Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Excursionistas
4 : 0 Villa San Carlos
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1 Ituzaingo
25 Aug
Excursionistas
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 3
Villa Dalmine
(Away) 17 Oct
Villa San Carlos
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
10 Oct
Villa Dalmine
1 : 1 CSD Liniers
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0 Villa Dalmine
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0 UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1 Ituzaingo
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Villa San Carlos
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0 Villa Dalmine
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
30 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 0 Villa Dalmine
21 Aug
Laferrere
0 : 2 Villa Dalmine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 68:31 | 81 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 41 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 55:27 | 76 |
| 3 | Sportivo Italiano | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 47:33 | 69 |
| 4 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 42:26 | 68 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 40:27 | 68 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 41 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 48:34 | 67 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 41 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 44:40 | 65 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 41 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 42:39 | 62 |
| 9 | Laferrere | 41 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 10 | Comunicaciones | 41 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 39:35 | 57 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41:46 | 51 |
| 12 | Villa San Carlos | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 40:43 | 50 |
| 13 | Flandria | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 39:49 | 48 |
| 14 | Dep. Merlo | 41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 39:54 | 48 |
| 15 | Dock Sud | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 16 | Argentino de Merlo | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 37:44 | 47 |
| 17 | Argentino de Quilmes | 41 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 33:40 | 47 |
| 18 | CSD Liniers | 41 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 34:43 | 45 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 25:37 | 43 |
| 20 | Defensores Unidos | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 33:40 | 42 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 40 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 23:36 | 39 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 41 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 28:67 | 17 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
