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Exeter U21 vs Brentford U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Woodhouse L.
Assist: Dean T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Exeter U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Exeter U21
20%
Draws
61%
Brentford U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brentford U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Exeter U21 haven't matched Brentford U21's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Brentford U21 taking it.
  • Brentford U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brentford U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brentford U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Exeter U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Brentford U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter U21 Brentford U21
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 7 21
Draws 2 4
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2.29
Goals Conceded 1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2025 Premier League Cup
Brentford U21 vs Exeter U21
3:0
Sep 30, 2025 Premier League Cup
Exeter U21 vs Brentford U21
1:0
Mar 13, 2025 Premier League Cup
Exeter U21 vs Brentford U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Woodhouse L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Brentford U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U21 10 / 100
Brentford U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter U21 Brentford U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brentford U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U21's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Brentford U21 let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Exeter U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brentford U21
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U21

(Home)
16 Dec
Exeter U21
1 : 2
West Brom U21
03 Dec
Luton U21
2 : 1
Exeter U21
24 Nov
Brentford U21
3 : 0
Exeter U21
15 Oct
West Brom U21
0 : 0
Exeter U21
30 Sept
Exeter U21
1 : 0
Brentford U21
Page 1 of 3

Brentford U21

(Away)
08 Sept
Hull City U21
1 : 1
Brentford U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1
Sunderland U21
21 Aug
Stoke City U21
2 : 3
Brentford U21
16 Aug
Brentford U21
2 : 0
Wycombe U21
08 Aug
Rennes
1 : 2
Brentford U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)