Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2019/2020 St James Park, Exeter

Exeter U23

3 - 0

Aston Villa U23

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Seymour B.

48'

Jay M.

(Penalty)

72'

Dyer J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Exeter U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Exeter U23

22%

Draws

18%

Aston Villa U23

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Exeter U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Exeter U23 come out ahead of Aston Villa U23 on wins alone.
Exeter U23 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Exeter U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Exeter U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 48%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Aston Villa U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Exeter U23	Aston Villa U23
Matches Played	29	34
Wins	13	11
Draws	9	6
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	1.33	2
Goals Conceded	1.67	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.33	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.67	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2020 Premier League Cup

Aston Villa U23 vs Exeter U23

0:4

Oct 3, 2019 Premier League Cup

Exeter U23 vs Aston Villa U23

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Seymour B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dyer J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.02

Avg xA / game 0.67

Aston Villa U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U23 56 / 100

Aston Villa U23 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Exeter U23 Aston Villa U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EXE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Exeter U23 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Aston Villa U23 let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Aston Villa U23's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Exeter U23 VS Aston Villa U23

1.33 Goals Scored 2

1.67 Goals Conceded 2.13

100% Over 1.5 100%

67% Over 2.5 88%

33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)

22 Feb

Wolves U23

0 : 2

Exeter U23

18 Jan

Exeter U23

0 : 3

West Ham U23

14 Jan

Swansea U23

2 : 2

Exeter U23

13 Oct

West Ham U23

3 : 2

Exeter U23

15 Sept

Exeter U23

2 : 3

Wolves U23

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Aston Villa U23

(Away)

12 Jul

Hednesford

4 : 3

Aston Villa U23

02 May

Aston Villa U23

1 : 2

Newcastle Utd U23

25 Apr

Burnley U23

2 : 1

Aston Villa U23

18 Apr

Sunderland U23

1 : 3

Aston Villa U23

01 Apr

Aston Villa U23

1 : 4

Stoke City U23

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