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Exeter U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2019/2020 St James Park, Exeter
Thu, Mar 19, 2020
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Premier League Cup 2019/2020. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Exeter U23 at 1.69 goals for, 1.28 against; Newcastle Utd U23 at 1.72 for, 2.06 against. Past meetings favor Exeter U23 slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.77) back Exeter U23 to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Exeter U23
15%
Draws
36%
Newcastle Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Exeter U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd U23 average 1.72 goals a game right now, well clear of Exeter U23's 1.69.
  • Exeter U23 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter U23 Newcastle Utd U23
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.69 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2020 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U23 65 / 100
Newcastle Utd U23 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter U23 Newcastle Utd U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Exeter U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U23's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Newcastle Utd U23 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Newcastle Utd U23 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Exeter U23 VS Newcastle Utd U23
1.33 Goals Scored 1.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
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Newcastle Utd U23

(Away)
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
18 Apr
Wolves U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
West Brom U23 6
Doncaster U23 1
Derby U23 6
Middlesbrough U23 0
Everton U23 2
Reading U23 1
Charlton U23 1
Fulham U23 2
Blackburn U23 -
Wolves U23 -
Exeter U23 -
Newcastle Utd U23 -
Liverpool U23 -
Stoke City U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -