Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022 St James Park, Exeter

Exeter U23

1 - 1

Swansea U23

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Morgan D.

42'

Rowe C. M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Exeter U23

35%

Draws

45%

Swansea U23

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Swansea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Swansea U23 haven't matched Exeter U23's recent run of results.
Model gives Swansea U23 a 45% chance of winning this.
Exeter U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 16%

Swansea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Exeter U23	Swansea U23
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	13	6
Draws	9	12
Losses	7	13
Goals Scored	1.69	1.42
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.48	1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2022 Premier League Cup

Swansea U23 vs Exeter U23

2:2

Sep 7, 2021 Premier League Cup

Exeter U23 vs Swansea U23

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe C. M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.74

Swansea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.33

Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter U23 15 / 100

Swansea U23 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Exeter U23 Swansea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea U23 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter U23 scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Swansea U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Exeter U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Exeter U23 VS Swansea U23

1.33 Goals Scored 1.25

1.67 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 88%

67% Over 2.5 50%

33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter U23

(Home)

22 Feb

Wolves U23

0 : 2

Exeter U23

18 Jan

Exeter U23

0 : 3

West Ham U23

14 Jan

Swansea U23

2 : 2

Exeter U23

13 Oct

West Ham U23

3 : 2

Exeter U23

15 Sept

Exeter U23

2 : 3

Wolves U23

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Swansea U23

(Away)

28 Apr

Wigan U23

2 : 2

Swansea U23

25 Apr

Swansea U23

4 : 2

Colchester U23

04 Apr

Swansea U23

2 : 2

Sheffield Wed U23

22 Mar

Barnsley U23

0 : 0

Swansea U23

14 Mar

Swansea U23

5 : 1

QPR U23

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