Sport Picks
Exeter vs Fleetwood Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two St James Park, Exeter 
Match Events
35'
35'
Perry T.
46'
46'
Sub
Perry T. In: Cole R.
Out: Perry T.
58'
58'
Cummins C.
Assist: Cole R.
AI Match Summary
Exeter in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Exeter.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Exeter
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fleetwood Town lately — more wins on the board than Exeter.
- Win probability leans Exeter's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Exeter Clean Sheet 68%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Exeter | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 League Two
Exeter vs Fleetwood Town
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 League One
Exeter vs Fleetwood Town
1:1
Nov 11, 2023 League One
Fleetwood Town vs Exeter
3:0
Apr 1, 2023 League One
Fleetwood Town vs Exeter
2:2
Oct 22, 2022 League One
Exeter vs Fleetwood Town
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Exeter Compare
Top Goalscorer Cummins C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Woodhouse L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Fleetwood Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Coughlan R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Exeter 86 / 100
Fleetwood Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Exeter Fleetwood Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Exeter Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Exeter stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Exeter scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Fleetwood Town has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Exeter VS Fleetwood Town
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Exeter
(Home) 24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1 Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0 Crewe
17 Oct
Colchester
0 : 0 Exeter
10 Oct
Shrewsbury
0 : 1 Exeter
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1 Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Exeter
2 : 0 Crewe
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0 Rotherham
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Tranmere
Page 1 of 3
Fleetwood Town
(Away) 24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1 Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Cheltenham
4 : 2 Fleetwood Town
17 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Rotherham
10 Oct
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 Walsall
06 Oct
Fleetwood Town
4 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 7
24 Oct
Exeter
2 : 1 Fleetwood Town
20 Oct
Cheltenham
4 : 2 Fleetwood Town
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 5 | York City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | 6 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
