Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Exeter vs Wycombe

England England

FA Cup St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Yfeko J.
20'
Grimmer J.
39' Event
Aitchison J.
Assist: Niskanen I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Exeter
15%
Draws
51%
Wycombe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wycombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Exeter haven't matched Wycombe's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Wycombe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Exeter Clean Sheet 14%
Wycombe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter Wycombe
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 12 3
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 League One
Exeter vs Wycombe
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 FA Cup
Exeter vs Wycombe
4:0
Aug 19, 2025 League One
Wycombe vs Exeter
0:1
Jan 1, 2025 League One
Wycombe vs Exeter
2:1
Dec 3, 2024 League One
Exeter vs Wycombe
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Exeter Compare

Top Goalscorer Aitchison J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Higgins A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Wycombe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter 35 / 100
Wycombe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter Wycombe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WYC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Wycombe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Wycombe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter VS Wycombe
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter

(Home)
10 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 0
Exeter
01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1
Bristol City
31 Jul
Torquay
2 : 1
Exeter
25 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 2
Exeter
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0
Exeter
Page 1 of 6

Wycombe

(Away)
07 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 2
Stevenage
01 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 2
Ipswich
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 1
Portsmouth
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 2
Yeovil
21 Jul
Farnham
2 : 1
Wycombe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
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Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
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Blackburn -
Charlton -
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Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
TBD -
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Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
TBD -
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QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
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Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
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Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
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Birmingham -
Derby -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
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West Brom -
Tottenham -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
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Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
TBD -
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TBD -
Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
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Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
TBD -
Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
TBD -
TBD -
QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
TBD -
TBD -
West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Stoke City -
TBD -
TBD -
Coventry -
Fulham -
TBD -
TBD -
Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
TBD -
Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
TBD -
Leicester -
Burnley -
TBD -
TBD -
Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1