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Exeter W vs Plymouth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League South
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Exeter W host Plymouth W in the Women's National League South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Exeter W at 1.93 goals for, 1.79 against; Plymouth W at 2 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor Exeter W slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.81 vs 1.06, favoring Plymouth W. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Exeter W
15%
Draws
0%
Plymouth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Exeter W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plymouth W lately — more wins on the board than Exeter W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Exeter W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 20%
Plymouth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter W Plymouth W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.93 2
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Women's National League South
Plymouth W vs Exeter W
2:0
Oct 29, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Plymouth W
1:1
Mar 12, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Plymouth W
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Women’s FA Cup
Plymouth W vs Exeter W
1:5
Oct 9, 2024 Women's National League South
Plymouth W vs Exeter W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter W 85 / 100
Plymouth W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter W Plymouth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Exeter W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plymouth W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Exeter W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Exeter W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter W VS Plymouth W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter W

(Home)
11 Oct
Exeter W
1 : 4
AFC Wimbledon W
04 Oct
Fulham W
1 : 2
Exeter W
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
Page 1 of 6

Plymouth W

(Away)
11 Oct
Cheltenham W
4 : 1
Plymouth W
04 Oct
Plymouth W
1 : 3
Real Bedford W
20 Sept
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Plymouth W
13 Sept
Plymouth W
0 : 4
Portsmouth W
30 Aug
Fulham W
5 : 0
Plymouth W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 7 7 0 0 24:0 21
2 Fulham W 6 5 0 1 15:5 15
3 Bournemouth W 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Portsmouth W 6 3 2 1 10:1 11
5 AFC Wimbledon W 5 3 1 1 12:2 10
6 Lewes W 7 2 3 2 11:10 9
7 Real Bedford W 7 3 0 4 11:16 9
8 Exeter W 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
9 Hashtag W 7 1 4 2 9:13 7
10 Cheltenham W 7 1 2 4 12:20 5
11 Swindon W 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
12 Plymouth W 7 0 0 7 4:31 0
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