Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Exeter W vs Portsmouth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League South
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Exeter W host Portsmouth W in the Women's National League South. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Exeter W have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Portsmouth W's 1.35 scored and 1.81 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.63, favoring Exeter W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Exeter W
30%
Draws
43%
Portsmouth W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portsmouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Exeter W lately — more wins on the board than Portsmouth W.
  • Model gives Portsmouth W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Women's National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 14%
Portsmouth W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter W Portsmouth W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.93 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter W 10 / 100
Portsmouth W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter W Portsmouth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portsmouth W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Portsmouth W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Exeter W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Exeter W VS Portsmouth W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter W

(Home)
11 Oct
Exeter W
1 : 4
AFC Wimbledon W
04 Oct
Fulham W
1 : 2
Exeter W
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
Page 1 of 6

Portsmouth W

(Away)
11 Oct
Hashtag W
0 : 0
Portsmouth W
04 Oct
Portsmouth W
0 : 0
Lewes W
20 Sept
Real Bedford W
0 : 2
Portsmouth W
13 Sept
Plymouth W
0 : 4
Portsmouth W
23 Aug
Portsmouth W
4 : 0
Swindon W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 7 7 0 0 24:0 21
2 Fulham W 6 5 0 1 15:5 15
3 Bournemouth W 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Portsmouth W 6 3 2 1 10:1 11
5 AFC Wimbledon W 5 3 1 1 12:2 10
6 Lewes W 7 2 3 2 11:10 9
7 Real Bedford W 7 3 0 4 11:16 9
8 Exeter W 7 2 2 3 11:16 8
9 Hashtag W 7 1 4 2 9:13 7
10 Cheltenham W 7 1 2 4 12:20 5
11 Swindon W 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
12 Plymouth W 7 0 0 7 4:31 0
Promotion - Women's National League Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)