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Expressinho vs Sao Jose (MA) Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 game between Expressinho and Sao Jose (MA) finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Expressinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Expressinho
15%
Draws
42%
Sao Jose (MA)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Expressinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Jose (MA) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Expressinho's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Expressinho Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Expressinho Sao Jose (MA)
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 2 7
Draws 0 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 0.69 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.92 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Maranhense 2
Expressinho vs Sao Jose (MA)
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Expressinho 50 / 100
Sao Jose (MA) 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Expressinho Sao Jose (MA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Expressinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (MA)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Sao Jose (MA)'s recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Expressinho found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (13 games).

Scoring Trends

Expressinho VS Sao Jose (MA)
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Expressinho

(Home)
15 Jul
Lago Verde
5 : 2
Expressinho
11 Jul
Expressinho
0 : 1
Lago Verde
04 Jul
Expressinho
2 : 1
Sao Jose (MA)
25 Jun
Araioses
1 : 0
Expressinho
20 Jun
Tupan
1 : 0
Expressinho
Page 1 of 3

Sao Jose (MA)

(Away)
04 Jul
Expressinho
2 : 1
Sao Jose (MA)
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
14 Jun
Tupan
2 : 3
Sao Jose (MA)
30 May
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)