Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2021/2022

Don Alvaro

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Extremadura UD B play Don Alvaro in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Extremadura UD B averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Don Alvaro averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Extremadura UD B won 0, Don Alvaro won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 27, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Extremadura UD B and 1.36 for Don Alvaro. This points to a Don Alvaro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Extremadura UD B

22%

Draws

50%

Don Alvaro

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Don Alvaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Extremadura UD B picked up more points recently compared to Don Alvaro.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Extremadura UD B Clean Sheet 18%

Don Alvaro Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Extremadura UD B	Don Alvaro
Matches Played	30	38
Wins	6	11
Draws	4	11
Losses	20	16
Goals Scored	0.6	1.08
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Don Alvaro vs Extremadura UD B

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

Nov 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Extremadura UD B vs Don Alvaro

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Extremadura UD B 29 / 100

Don Alvaro 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Extremadura UD B Don Alvaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Don Alvaro or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Extremadura UD B attacking → ← attacking Don Alvaro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Extremadura UD B scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Don Alvaro let in goals in 84% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Extremadura UD B went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Don Alvaro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 44

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Diocesano	30	20	3	7	61:30	63
2	Moralo	30	14	10	6	39:19	52
3	AD Llerenense	30	13	12	5	44:32	51
4	Jerez CF	30	14	7	9	38:30	49
5	Arroyo	30	12	12	6	40:30	48
6	CF Trujillo	30	12	12	6	40:27	48
7	CD Azuaga	30	12	12	6	41:31	48
8	CD Calamonte	30	11	10	9	35:33	43
9	UP Plasencia	30	10	8	12	24:29	38
10	SP Villafranca	30	9	10	11	27:30	37
11	Olivenza FC	30	7	12	11	31:35	33
12	Don Alvaro	30	7	10	13	36:44	31
13	Miajadas	30	8	5	17	30:48	29
14	Aceuchal	30	7	8	15	24:42	29
15	CD Badajoz B	30	6	9	15	24:38	27
16	Extremadura UD B	30	6	4	20	18:54	0