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Extremadura UD B vs La Estrella Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 game between Extremadura UD B and La Estrella finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Extremadura UD B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Extremadura UD B
15%
Draws
85%
La Estrella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Extremadura UD B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans La Estrella's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Extremadura UD B Clean Sheet 20%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Extremadura UD B La Estrella
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.94 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Extremadura UD B vs La Estrella
3:2
Oct 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Extremadura UD B
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Extremadura UD B 28 / 100
La Estrella 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Extremadura UD B La Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Estrella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: La Estrella conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: La Estrella has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Extremadura UD B found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS La Estrella
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Extremadura UD B

(Home)
24 Apr
UP Plasencia
2 : 0
Extremadura UD B
17 Apr
Extremadura UD B
0 : 2
Aceuchal
10 Apr
Jerez CF
2 : 0
Extremadura UD B
03 Apr
Extremadura UD B
0 : 2
Arroyo
27 Mar
Don Alvaro
2 : 0
Extremadura UD B
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La Estrella

(Away)
23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3
CD Azuaga
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
La Estrella
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
Olivenza FC
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0
La Estrella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacereno 38 29 5 4 81:16 92
2 CD Badajoz 38 25 10 3 90:17 85
3 Jerez CF 38 25 4 9 58:26 79
4 CD Azuaga 38 22 8 8 83:42 74
5 CD Coria 38 22 6 10 62:29 72
6 Don Benito 38 18 14 6 62:26 68
7 CD Calamonte 38 16 14 8 70:39 62
8 UP Plasencia 38 17 8 13 59:56 59
9 Moralo 38 13 13 12 57:58 52
10 Olivenza FC 38 12 11 15 44:54 47
11 Montijo 38 11 10 17 41:59 43
12 CP Amanecer 38 10 13 15 52:58 43
13 Extremadura UD B 38 9 13 16 49:55 40
14 CP Valdivia 38 9 12 17 34:63 39
15 Arroyo 38 10 7 21 31:64 37
16 Santa Amalia 38 10 6 22 34:82 36
17 Pueblonuevo 38 8 11 19 34:64 35
18 Fuente de Cantos 38 8 10 20 42:69 34
19 Diter Zafra 38 6 6 26 34:95 24
20 La Estrella 38 3 13 22 34:79 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)