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Ezcabarte vs CD Cantolagua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Beorlegui I.
43' Event
Isturiz O.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Munuce U.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 game between Ezcabarte and CD Cantolagua finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ezcabarte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ezcabarte
20%
Draws
22%
CD Cantolagua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ezcabarte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ezcabarte come out ahead of CD Cantolagua on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Ezcabarte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ezcabarte have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 19%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte CD Cantolagua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.59 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs CD Cantolagua
4:1
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs CD Cantolagua
2:0
Nov 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Ezcabarte
3:2
Apr 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Ezcabarte
0:2
Dec 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs CD Cantolagua
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Munuce U.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

CD Cantolagua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 85 / 100
CD Cantolagua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte CD Cantolagua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ezcabarte scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

CD Cantolagua has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Ezcabarte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS CD Cantolagua
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
03 Oct
Ezcabarte
4 : 1
CD Cantolagua
26 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Ezcabarte
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
Page 1 of 6

CD Cantolagua

(Away)
03 Oct
Ezcabarte
4 : 1
CD Cantolagua
27 Sept
CD Cantolagua
0 : 3
Valle Egues
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0
CD Cantolagua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 5 5 0 0 18:2 15
2 Beti Kozkor 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
3 Mutilvera 5 3 2 0 7:1 11
4 Gazte Berriak 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 Aoiz 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
6 Ezcabarte 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
7 Subiza 5 2 1 2 11:8 7
8 AD San Juan 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
9 Txantrea 6 1 3 2 4:9 6
10 Doneztebe FT 5 1 2 2 10:7 5
11 Valle Egues 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
12 CD Beti Onak 6 0 5 1 5:8 5
13 Cortes 6 1 2 3 2:8 5
14 Huarte 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
15 Pamplona 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
16 Bidezarra 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
17 CD Cantolagua 5 1 0 4 3:15 3
18 Cirbonero 5 0 2 3 1:11 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)