Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ezcabarte vs Txantrea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Gonzalez J.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Basse E. A.
55' Event
Oteiza A.

AI Match Summary

Ezcabarte in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ezcabarte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Ezcabarte
35%
Draws
40%
Txantrea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Txantrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Ezcabarte average 1.48 goals a game right now, well clear of Txantrea's 1.47.
  • Model gives Ezcabarte a 25% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 13%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte Txantrea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Txantrea
4:0
Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Ezcabarte
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Txantrea
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Txantrea
2:1
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Ezcabarte
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Basse E. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oteiza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Txantrea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 66 / 100
Txantrea 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte Txantrea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezcabarte scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Txantrea has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ezcabarte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS Txantrea
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
26 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Ezcabarte
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
Page 1 of 6

Txantrea

(Away)
26 Sept
Txantrea
2 : 2
Bidezarra
19 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Txantrea
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 4 4 0 0 16:2 12
2 Mutilvera 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
3 Subiza 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
4 Gazte Berriak 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
5 Beti Kozkor 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
6 Aoiz 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
7 Doneztebe FT 4 1 2 1 10:6 5
8 Ezcabarte 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
9 Valle Egues 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
10 Txantrea 4 1 2 1 4:7 5
11 AD San Juan 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
12 CD Beti Onak 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
13 Cortes 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
14 Huarte 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
15 Pamplona 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
16 CD Cantolagua 4 1 0 3 2:11 3
17 Bidezarra 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
18 Cirbonero 4 0 2 2 1:7 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)