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Ezeiza vs Barrancas

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ezeiza play Barrancas in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ezeiza averaged 1 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Barrancas averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Ezeiza won 1, Barrancas won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 26, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Ezeiza and 0.88 for Barrancas. This points to a Barrancas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ezeiza
17%
Draws
42%
Barrancas
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Barrancas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Ezeiza picked up more points recently compared to Barrancas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21%
Ezeiza Clean Sheet 25%
Barrancas Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezeiza Barrancas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.72 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Barrancas
0:2
Aug 23, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Barrancas
1:0
Apr 1, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Barrancas vs Ezeiza
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezeiza 42 / 100
Barrancas 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezeiza Barrancas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Barrancas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ezeiza attacking → ← attacking Barrancas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezeiza scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Barrancas let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Ezeiza went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Barrancas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 46
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Metalurgico650111:315
2Social Atletico Television65017:215
3Nautico Hacoaj63217:311
4Defensores de Glew631214:710
5Estrella de Berisso62226:68
6Provincial61143:94
7Atletico Pilar61054:113
8Juventud de Bernal61054:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Uribelarrea74217:314
3Academia Control Orientado63218:511
4Buenos Aires City72325:49
5Belgrano Zarate72323:39
6Everton La Plata72235:68
7Ezeiza61322:46
8Las Mandarinas72056:116
9Alumni Los Hornos71244:75