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Ezra vs Luang Prabang United FC

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Lao League
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AI Match Summary

Ezra play Luang Prabang United FC in the Lao League. Ezra are favorites here. Recently, Ezra averaged 2.76 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Luang Prabang United FC averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Ezra won 5, Luang Prabang United FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Ezra and 1.19 for Luang Prabang United FC. This points to a Ezra double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ezra
15%
Draws
28%
Luang Prabang United FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ezra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Ezra picked up more points recently compared to Luang Prabang United FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Ezra Clean Sheet 20%
Luang Prabang United FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezra Luang Prabang United FC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.76 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Lao League
Luang Prabang United FC vs Ezra
1:4
Oct 1, 2025 Lao League
Ezra vs Luang Prabang United FC
5:0
Feb 23, 2025 Lao League
Luang Prabang United FC vs Ezra
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Lao League
Ezra vs Luang Prabang United FC
2:0
Jun 18, 2023 Lao League
Luang Prabang United FC vs Ezra
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezra Compare

Top Goalscorer Khochalern P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khounthoumphone C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Luang Prabang United FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezra 55 / 100
Luang Prabang United FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezra Luang Prabang United FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ezra & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ezra attacking → ← attacking Luang Prabang United FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezra scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Luang Prabang United FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ezra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Luang Prabang United FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 41
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ezra18151263:1646
2Young Elephant18142246:844
3GB FC18104450:2134
4Champasak Avenir1884634:2028
5Lao Army FC1883725:3227
6Salavan United1875631:2726
7Luang Prabang United FC1855826:3020
8Namtha United1854923:3419
9Master 718151215:498
10Savannakhet FC18011710:861