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Ezra vs Shan United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Club Championship Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
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Match Events

21' Event
Edson
Assist: Sekyi M.
33'
Oo K.
45' Event
Narita M.
Assist: Siphongphan A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ezra
15%
Draws
53%
Shan United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Shan United have won more games recently than Ezra.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Shan United taking it.
  • Shan United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shan United, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Shan United have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ezra Clean Sheet 10%
Shan United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezra Shan United
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 18 19
Draws 1 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 ASEAN Club Championship
Shan United vs Ezra
2:0
Sep 11, 2026 ASEAN Club Championship
Ezra vs Shan United
3:2
Aug 15, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Shan United vs Ezra
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Ezra vs Shan United
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezra Compare

Top Goalscorer Narita M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Donsanouphit B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Edson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezra 10 / 100
Shan United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezra Shan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shan United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezra's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Shan United has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Ezra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ezra VS Shan United
2.25 Goals Scored 3.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezra

(Home)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
14 Mar
Ezra
1 : 6
Young Elephant
08 Mar
Luang Prabang United FC
1 : 4
Ezra
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Shan United

(Away)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
05 Sept
Myawady
0 : 4
Shan United
30 Aug
Yangon Royals
2 : 2
Shan United
18 Mar
Shan United
1 : 0
Hantharwady United
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Kasuka 2
Manila Digger 9
Ezra 3
Shan United 4