Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ezra vs Svay Rieng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Morodok Techo National Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Patrick
45' Event
Odawara T.
Assist: Peprah K.
46'
Sub
Yoshioka R. In: Phanthavong P.
Out: Yoshioka R.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Ezra and Svay Rieng finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svay Rieng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ezra
15%
Draws
46%
Svay Rieng
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Svay Rieng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Svay Rieng haven't matched Ezra's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ezra Clean Sheet 13%
Svay Rieng Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezra Svay Rieng
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 1 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.72 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 AFC Challenge League
Ezra vs Svay Rieng
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Svay Rieng Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick
1 Goals
Assists Leader Odawara T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezra 35 / 100
Svay Rieng 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezra Svay Rieng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svay Rieng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezra's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Svay Rieng has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ezra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ezra VS Svay Rieng
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezra

(Home)
14 Sept
Shan United
2 : 0
Ezra
11 Sept
Ezra
3 : 2
Shan United
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
14 Mar
Ezra
1 : 6
Young Elephant
08 Mar
Luang Prabang United FC
1 : 4
Ezra
Page 1 of 6

Svay Rieng

(Away)
08 Oct
Johor DT
6 : 0
Svay Rieng
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
17 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 0
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Svay Rieng
4 : 0
Tiffy Army
06 Sept
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
0 : 3
Svay Rieng
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabab 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Altyn Asyr 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Abdysh-Ata Kant 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
4 Paro 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Kuwait 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Al Ansar 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Al Seeb 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bashundara Kings 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Muras United 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
2 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Safa 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Regar-TadAZ 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Manila Digger 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Falcons 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Ezra 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Phnom Penh Crown 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Taiwan Steel 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Shan United 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)