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F. Karagumruk vs Muglaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

F. Karagumruk host Muglaspor in the 1. Lig. This one's hard to separate. F. Karagumruk have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Muglaspor's 1.13 scored and 0.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Muglaspor slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 1988, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring Muglaspor. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
F. Karagumruk
35%
Draws
42%
Muglaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Muglaspor have won more games recently than F. Karagumruk.
  • Model gives F. Karagumruk a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 20%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric F. Karagumruk Muglaspor
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.18 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 1988 1. Lig
Muglaspor vs F. Karagumruk
2:1
Oct 11, 1987 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Muglaspor
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

F. Karagumruk 36 / 100
Muglaspor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
F. Karagumruk Muglaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

F. Karagumruk scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: F. Karagumruk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Muglaspor has conceded goals in 44% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

F. Karagumruk VS Muglaspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

F. Karagumruk

(Home)
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3
F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6

Muglaspor

(Away)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
4 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)