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Stadium Background

FA Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Siauliai central stadium, Šiauliai
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Piliukaitis V.
16' Event
Ikaunieks D.
Assist: Bierontas E.
21' Event
Pedro Bahia
Assist: Wawszczyk J.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FA Siauliai and Dziugas Telsiai finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dziugas Telsiai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
FA Siauliai
20%
Draws
40%
Dziugas Telsiai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dziugas Telsiai come out ahead of FA Siauliai on wins alone.
  • Model gives FA Siauliai a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 13%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai Dziugas Telsiai
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai
3:4
Jun 24, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
FA Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:1
Jun 12, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FA Siauliai
4:3
Apr 12, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FA Siauliai
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
FA Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikaunieks D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naah D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Bahia
3 Goals
Assists Leader Piliukaitis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 48 / 100
Dziugas Telsiai 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai Dziugas Telsiai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FA Siauliai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FA Siauliai found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: Dziugas Telsiai registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Dziugas Telsiai conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

FA Siauliai VS Dziugas Telsiai
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FA Siauliai

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

Dziugas Telsiai

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)