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FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup Siauliai central stadium, Šiauliai
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Tolordava A. In: Hernandez A.
Out: Tolordava A.
55' Event
Kalik A.
57'
Hasanovic D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
FA Siauliai
15%
Draws
78%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won more games recently than FA Siauliai.
  • Win probability leans FK Kauno Zalgiris's way, sitting at 90%.
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Kauno Zalgiris, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FK Kauno Zalgiris have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 19%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:2
Sep 3, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:1
Jul 18, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
4:0
May 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalik A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 10 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FA Siauliai's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

FK Kauno Zalgiris has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

FA Siauliai has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FA Siauliai VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FA Siauliai

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai 2
Sirijus 1
FK Minija 3
Suduva 2
FK Atmosfera 2
Zalgiris 1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 0
FK Panevezys 2
Klaipedos FM 1
BE1 NFA 0
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dainava Alytus 7
Kursenai 1
Transinvest 10
Tauras Taurage 1
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 4
FK Sirvena Birzai 0
Jonava 0
FA Siauliai 4
Neptunas 0
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Vilniaus Vytis 0
Banga 4
BFA Vilnius 1
FK Babrungas 0
AFK Vilnius 0
Garliava 3
Vilnius FA 0
Riteriai 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai 1
FK Minija 4
FK Atmosfera 0
FK Panevezys 3
Klaipedos FM 0
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Ataka Vilnius 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Banga 0
BFA Vilnius 2
Garliava 1
Riteriai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija 2
FK Panevezys 1
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Semi-finals
FK Minija 3
Dainava Alytus 2
FA Siauliai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Final
FK Minija -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -