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FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Siauliai central stadium, Šiauliai
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Cerniauskas V.
6'
Korkeakunnas T.
6'
Sub
Bacanin M. In: Brazinskas A.
Out: Bacanin M.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FA Siauliai and FK Panevezys finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FA Siauliai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
FA Siauliai
15%
Draws
78%
FK Panevezys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Panevezys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Panevezys come out ahead of FA Siauliai on wins alone.
  • FK Panevezys are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 14%
FK Panevezys Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai FK Panevezys
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
1:0
Jun 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys
3:3
Jul 20, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Panevezys vs FA Siauliai
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Dovydaitis D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

FK Panevezys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 10 / 100
FK Panevezys 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai FK Panevezys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Panevezys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

FA Siauliai found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

FK Panevezys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

FA Siauliai has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FA Siauliai VS FK Panevezys
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FA Siauliai

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

FK Panevezys

(Away)
03 Oct
Zalgiris
0 : 2
FK Panevezys
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 29 13 11 5 39:29 50
3 Zalgiris 29 14 5 10 45:34 47
4 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)