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Fabriano Cerreto vs Campobasso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 game between Fabriano Cerreto and Campobasso finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campobasso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Fabriano Cerreto
35%
Draws
58%
Campobasso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Campobasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Fabriano Cerreto haven't matched Campobasso's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Campobasso taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fabriano Cerreto Clean Sheet 20%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fabriano Cerreto Campobasso
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 22
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Fabriano Cerreto vs Campobasso
0:3
Sep 17, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Campobasso vs Fabriano Cerreto
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fabriano Cerreto 10 / 100
Campobasso 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fabriano Cerreto Campobasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campobasso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fabriano Cerreto scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Campobasso let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fabriano Cerreto stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Campobasso
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fabriano Cerreto

(Home)
05 May
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 1
Nerostellati Pratola
29 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
3 : 2
Fabriano Cerreto
22 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 3
Sangiustese
15 Apr
Vis Pesaro
3 : 0
Fabriano Cerreto
08 Apr
Fabriano Cerreto
1 : 2
Monticelli
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Campobasso

(Away)
04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vis Pesaro 34 23 4 7 61:29 73
2 Matelica 34 22 5 7 66:28 71
3 Avezzano 34 16 14 4 51:26 62
4 Pineto 34 15 12 7 53:41 57
5 Aquila Calcio 34 15 10 9 57:40 55
6 ASD Francavilla 34 14 11 9 47:38 53
7 San Marino Calcio 34 15 6 13 45:35 51
8 Vastese 34 15 6 13 55:50 51
9 Sangiustese 34 13 9 12 39:41 48
10 Campobasso 34 13 10 11 41:40 45
11 Castelfidardo 34 12 8 14 43:54 44
12 Recanatese 34 12 7 15 47:47 43
13 Agnonese 34 11 8 15 34:35 41
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 7 16 42:51 40
15 Jesina 34 8 10 16 32:46 34
16 Monticelli 34 5 15 14 25:45 30
17 Fabriano Cerreto 34 5 5 24 29:69 20
18 Nerostellati Pratola 34 3 9 22 19:71 18
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 (Play Offs)