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Fabril do Barreiro vs Amora

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Tavares E.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 game between Fabril do Barreiro and Amora finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fabril do Barreiro
35%
Draws
28%
Amora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fabril do Barreiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Amora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fabril do Barreiro a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Amora have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fabril do Barreiro Clean Sheet 68%
Amora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fabril do Barreiro Amora
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.87 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Amora
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Amora vs Fabril do Barreiro
2:0
Mar 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Amora vs Fabril do Barreiro
2:1
Oct 26, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Amora
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fabril do Barreiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Amora Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fabril do Barreiro 68 / 100
Amora 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fabril do Barreiro Amora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fabril do Barreiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Fabril do Barreiro remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Amora has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Fabril do Barreiro scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amora
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fabril do Barreiro

(Home)
13 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
2 : 1
Louletano
06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2
Fabril do Barreiro
29 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4
Fabril do Barreiro
09 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 1
FC Barreirense
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Amora

(Away)
27 Sept
Amora
1 : 0
Lajense
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Amora
0 : 1
Real SC
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)