Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fabril do Barreiro vs Operario

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

79'
Agyemang F.
87' Event
Ramos D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 game between Fabril do Barreiro and Operario finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fabril do Barreiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Fabril do Barreiro
30%
Draws
0%
Operario
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fabril do Barreiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Fabril do Barreiro's 0.87 goals per match outpaces what Operario have produced (0.8).
  • Fabril do Barreiro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Fabril do Barreiro have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Fabril do Barreiro Clean Sheet 68%
Operario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fabril do Barreiro Operario
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.87 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Operario
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Operario vs Fabril do Barreiro
0:1
Sep 22, 2013 Taça de Portugal
Fabril do Barreiro vs Operario
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fabril do Barreiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Operario Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fabril do Barreiro 95 / 100
Operario 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fabril do Barreiro Operario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fabril do Barreiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Fabril do Barreiro went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Operario lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Fabril do Barreiro found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Fabril do Barreiro VS Operario
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fabril do Barreiro

(Home)
13 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
2 : 1
Louletano
06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2
Fabril do Barreiro
29 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4
Fabril do Barreiro
09 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 1
FC Barreirense
Page 1 of 6

Operario

(Away)
21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0
Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4
Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2
Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1
Operario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)