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Fagerborg vs Stromsgodset 3

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 4 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fagerborg
35%
Draws
32%
Stromsgodset 3
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Stromsgodset 3 have won more games recently than Fagerborg.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Fagerborg Clean Sheet 11%
Stromsgodset 3 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fagerborg Stromsgodset 3
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 5 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.68 2.9
Goals Conceded 3 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Fagerborg vs Stromsgodset 3
1:1
Jul 4, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Stromsgodset 3 vs Fagerborg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fagerborg 30 / 100
Stromsgodset 3 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fagerborg Stromsgodset 3

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stromsgodset 3 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fagerborg scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Stromsgodset 3 let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Fagerborg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Stromsgodset 3
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fagerborg

(Home)
24 Oct
Fagerborg
1 : 1
Stromsgodset 3
17 Oct
Larvik Turn
2 : 1
Fagerborg
12 Oct
Fagerborg
1 : 1
Vestfossen
05 Oct
Fagerborg
6 : 1
Birkebeineren
28 Sept
Lommedalen
4 : 1
Fagerborg
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Stromsgodset 3

(Away)
22 Oct
Halsen
2 : 0
Stromsgodset 3
15 Oct
Stromsgodset 3
3 : 0
Odds BK 3
11 Oct
Holmen
0 : 0
Stromsgodset 3
04 Oct
Stromsgodset 3
2 : 2
Kongsberg
27 Sept
Ready
4 : 3
Stromsgodset 3
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