Sport Picks
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Fajr Sepasi host Aluminium Arak in the Persian Gulf Pro League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Aluminium Arak have shipped 0.8 goals a game lately, while Fajr Sepasi have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.06. Head-to-head, Fajr Sepasi have won 0 to Aluminium Arak's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.38 - 0.69) back Aluminium Arak to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fajr Sepasi have won more games recently than Aluminium Arak.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Aluminium Arak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 25 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fajr Sepasi found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Fajr Sepasi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Aluminium Arak conceded in 56% of 25 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fajr Sepasi
(Home)Aluminium Arak
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Esteghlal TEH | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 15 |
| 3 | Persepolis | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Aluminium Arak | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Sepahan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Foolad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Paykan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Mazandaran | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Chadormalu | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Fajr Sepasi | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 12 | Malavan | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 14 | Zob Ahan | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 15 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr Babak | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:8 | 4 |