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Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fajr Sepasi host Aluminium Arak in the Persian Gulf Pro League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Aluminium Arak have shipped 0.8 goals a game lately, while Fajr Sepasi have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.06. Head-to-head, Fajr Sepasi have won 0 to Aluminium Arak's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.38 - 0.69) back Aluminium Arak to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fajr Sepasi
35%
Draws
39%
Aluminium Arak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Fajr Sepasi have won more games recently than Aluminium Arak.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 20%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fajr Sepasi Aluminium Arak
Matches Played 31 25
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.06 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Fajr Sepasi
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak
0:0
Dec 19, 2021 Hazfi Cup
Aluminium Arak vs Fajr Sepasi
2:0
Dec 10, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0
Jan 7, 2020 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fajr Sepasi 36 / 100
Aluminium Arak 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fajr Sepasi Aluminium Arak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminium Arak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Fajr Sepasi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Aluminium Arak conceded in 56% of 25 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fajr Sepasi VS Aluminium Arak
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fajr Sepasi

(Home)
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0
Zob Ahan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
19 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 7

Aluminium Arak

(Away)
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
18 Aug
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 7 5 1 1 8:1 16
2 Esteghlal TEH 7 4 3 0 9:1 15
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Aluminium Arak 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
5 Sepahan 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
6 Gol Gohar 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
7 Foolad 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
8 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
9 Mazandaran 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
10 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
11 Fajr Sepasi 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
12 Malavan 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
13 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
14 Zob Ahan 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 7 0 5 2 5:10 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)