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Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Rafsanjan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Matheus Costa
Assist: Fakhreddini M.
46'
Sub
Jafarikia S. In: Vosoughifard A.
Out: Jafarikia S.
60'
Shahabi H.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Fajr Sepasi and Mes Rafsanjan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fajr Sepasi
20%
Draws
38%
Mes Rafsanjan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fajr Sepasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fajr Sepasi come out ahead of Mes Rafsanjan on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Fajr Sepasi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 68%
Mes Rafsanjan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fajr Sepasi Mes Rafsanjan
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Rafsanjan
1:1
May 3, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi
2:1
Dec 15, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Rafsanjan
0:0
Aug 2, 2020 Azadegan League
Mes Rafsanjan vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Helichi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mes Rafsanjan Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Costa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fajr Sepasi 51 / 100
Mes Rafsanjan 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fajr Sepasi Mes Rafsanjan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Mes Rafsanjan conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Difficult form: Mes Rafsanjan registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fajr Sepasi VS Mes Rafsanjan
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915