Sport Picks
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr Babak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League 
Match Events
10'
10'
Moredi A.
17'
17'
Mehri S.
Assist: Moredi A.
46'
46'
Sub
Moredi A. In: Shahabi H.
Out: Moredi A.
AI Match Summary
The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Fajr Sepasi and Mes Shahr Babak finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fajr Sepasi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
24%
/ Low Confidence
- Fajr Sepasi haven't matched Mes Shahr Babak's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 22%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fajr Sepasi | Mes Shahr Babak |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr Babak
1:1
Nov 21, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Mes Shahr Babak vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0
Apr 29, 2025 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr Babak
0:0
Dec 13, 2024 Azadegan League
Mes Shahr Babak vs Fajr Sepasi
0:0
May 13, 2024 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Shahr Babak
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fajr Sepasi Compare
Top Goalscorer Mehri S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Mes Shahr Babak Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fajr Sepasi 37 / 100
Mes Shahr Babak 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fajr Sepasi Mes Shahr Babak
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mes Shahr Babak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fajr Sepasi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Solid form: Fajr Sepasi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Mes Shahr Babak conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Fajr Sepasi VS Mes Shahr Babak
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fajr Sepasi
(Home) 08 Oct
Sepahan
6 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0 Zob Ahan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1 Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0 Zob Ahan
19 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0 Sanat Naft
20 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 0 Shams Azar Qazvin
06 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
2 : 1 Tractor
Page 1 of 3
Mes Shahr Babak
(Away) 08 Oct
Foolad
2 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2 Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0 Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 7
08 Oct
Foolad
2 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
24 Aug
Zob Ahan
1 : 1 Mes Shahr Babak
14 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
4 : 0 Mes Shahr Babak
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9:2 | 17 |
| 2 | Persepolis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Esteghlal TEH | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:2 | 16 |
| 4 | Sepahan | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Aluminium Arak | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 6 | Gol Gohar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Foolad | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 8 | Mazandaran | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Chadormalu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Paykan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Malavan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 12 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 13 | Zob Ahan | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Fajr Sepasi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 15 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Mes Shahr Babak | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Sanat Naft | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3:11 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)
