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Fakel Voronezh U19 vs CSKA Moscow U19

Russia Russia

Youth League
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Chernomorets D. N.
16' Event
Pasichnik I.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Tarasenko I.

AI Match Summary

The Youth League game between Fakel Voronezh U19 and CSKA Moscow U19 finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Moscow U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Fakel Voronezh U19
33%
Draws
40%
CSKA Moscow U19
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CSKA Moscow U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Fakel Voronezh U19 haven't matched CSKA Moscow U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CSKA Moscow U19 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Youth League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSKA Moscow U19 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Fakel Voronezh U19 Clean Sheet 10%
CSKA Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakel Voronezh U19 CSKA Moscow U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.13 3
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Youth League
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs CSKA Moscow U19
1:5
Aug 15, 2025 Youth League
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs CSKA Moscow U19
2:3
Apr 4, 2025 Youth League
CSKA Moscow U19 vs Fakel Voronezh U19
1:0
Jul 12, 2024 Youth League
CSKA Moscow U19 vs Fakel Voronezh U19
7:2
Apr 12, 2024 Youth League
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs CSKA Moscow U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fakel Voronezh U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Elezyan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CSKA Moscow U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarasenko I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shiveobi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakel Voronezh U19 26 / 100
CSKA Moscow U19 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakel Voronezh U19 CSKA Moscow U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Fakel Voronezh U19 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: CSKA Moscow U19 conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fakel Voronezh U19 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fakel Voronezh U19 VS CSKA Moscow U19
1.13 Goals Scored 3
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Krasnodar U1915121253:2037
2Zenit St Petersburg U1915102342:1832
3CSKA Moscow U1915102344:2132
4Lokomotiv Moscow U191595144:2132
5Rodina Moscow U191592431:1829
6Konoplev Academy U191564529:2822
7FK Rostov U191563624:3121
8Dynamo Moscow U191562722:2620
9Spartak Moscow U191547426:3119
10Almaz Antey U191553721:3218
11FC Chertanovo Moscow U191545621:3417
12Ural U191544716:2816
13FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U191533917:3912
14Dynamo Makhachkala U1915321022:3411
15Fakel Voronezh U1915301220:359
16Rubin Kazan U1915231020:369