Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fakel Voronezh U19 vs Spartak Moscow U19

Russia Russia

Youth League
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fakel Voronezh U19 host Spartak Moscow U19 in the Youth League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Spartak Moscow U19 have shipped 2.88 goals a game lately, while Fakel Voronezh U19 have conceded 2.38 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Spartak Moscow U19 slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 4:3. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.94, favoring Spartak Moscow U19. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fakel Voronezh U19
22%
Draws
18%
Spartak Moscow U19
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fakel Voronezh U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Moscow U19 lately — more wins on the board than Fakel Voronezh U19.
  • Win probability leans Fakel Voronezh U19's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Spartak Moscow U19 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Fakel Voronezh U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Spartak Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakel Voronezh U19 Spartak Moscow U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Youth League
Spartak Moscow U19 vs Fakel Voronezh U19
4:3
Oct 24, 2025 Youth League
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs Spartak Moscow U19
2:2
Jun 27, 2025 Youth League
Spartak Moscow U19 vs Fakel Voronezh U19
1:0
Nov 3, 2023 Youth League
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs Spartak Moscow U19
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakel Voronezh U19 56 / 100
Spartak Moscow U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakel Voronezh U19 Spartak Moscow U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow U19 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Fakel Voronezh U19 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Fakel Voronezh U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fakel Voronezh U19 VS Spartak Moscow U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakel Voronezh U19

(Home)
24 Jul
Fakel Voronezh U19
0 : 1
Rubin Kazan U19
17 Jul
Fakel Voronezh U19
1 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg U19
10 Jul
Fakel Voronezh U19
3 : 2
Ural U19
03 Jul
Fakel Voronezh U19
1 : 2
Krasnodar U19
26 Jun
FK Rostov U19
2 : 1
Fakel Voronezh U19
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Spartak Moscow U19

(Away)
24 Jul
FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19
2 : 3
Spartak Moscow U19
17 Jul
Spartak Moscow U19
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Moscow U19
10 Jul
Almaz Antey U19
3 : 3
Spartak Moscow U19
03 Jul
Spartak Moscow U19
1 : 6
Konoplev Academy U19
24 Jun
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
0 : 0
Spartak Moscow U19
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Krasnodar U1916121354:2637
2Zenit St Petersburg U1916112345:1835
3CSKA Moscow U1916112348:2235
4Lokomotiv Moscow U191695245:2332
5Rodina Moscow U1916102437:1932
6Konoplev Academy U191674532:3025
7Dynamo Moscow U191672726:2723
8Spartak Moscow U191657429:3322
9FK Rostov U191663726:3421
10Almaz Antey U191663723:3321
11FC Chertanovo Moscow U191645721:3717
12Ural U191644817:3216
13Rubin Kazan U1916331021:3612
14FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U1916331019:4212
15Dynamo Makhachkala U1916321123:3811
16Fakel Voronezh U1916301320:369
Relegation - Youth League (Relegation)