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Fakel Voronezh U19 vs Ural U19

Russia Russia

Youth League
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Manukyan A.
35'
Kazantsev N.
36' Event
Patkovich N.

AI Match Summary

The Youth League game between Fakel Voronezh U19 and Ural U19 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fakel Voronezh U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Fakel Voronezh U19
20%
Draws
48%
Ural U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ural U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ural U19 come out ahead of Fakel Voronezh U19 on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fakel Voronezh U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Ural U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakel Voronezh U19 Ural U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Youth League
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs Ural U19
3:2
Oct 17, 2025 Youth League
Ural U19 vs Fakel Voronezh U19
0:0
Jun 20, 2025 Youth League
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs Ural U19
1:0
Aug 9, 2024 Youth League
Ural U19 vs Fakel Voronezh U19
3:3
May 3, 2024 Youth League
Fakel Voronezh U19 vs Ural U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fakel Voronezh U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Patkovich N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shipilov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ural U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Manukyan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakel Voronezh U19 31 / 100
Ural U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakel Voronezh U19 Ural U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ural U19 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Fakel Voronezh U19's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Ural U19's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fakel Voronezh U19 VS Ural U19
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakel Voronezh U19

(Home)
18 Sept
CSKA Moscow U19
6 : 1
Fakel Voronezh U19
11 Sept
Konoplev Academy U19
3 : 0
Fakel Voronezh U19
04 Sept
Fakel Voronezh U19
0 : 1
Dynamo Moscow U19
28 Aug
FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19
0 : 0
Fakel Voronezh U19
21 Aug
Fakel Voronezh U19
2 : 2
Almaz Antey U19
Page 1 of 6

Ural U19

(Away)
18 Sept
Ural U19
0 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
11 Sept
Rubin Kazan U19
0 : 4
Ural U19
04 Sept
Konoplev Academy U19
3 : 0
Ural U19
28 Aug
Ural U19
3 : 6
Zenit St Petersburg U19
21 Aug
Krasnodar U19
4 : 0
Ural U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 24 18 2 4 77:33 56
2 Krasnodar U19 24 17 2 5 72:36 53
3 Zenit St Petersburg U19 24 16 3 5 68:32 51
4 Rodina Moscow U19 24 15 3 6 62:31 48
5 Lokomotiv Moscow U19 24 14 5 5 59:37 47
6 Konoplev Academy U19 24 13 5 6 51:37 44
7 Almaz Antey U19 24 11 5 8 46:51 38
8 Spartak Moscow U19 24 7 10 7 38:41 31
9 FK Rostov U19 24 9 4 11 36:42 31
10 Dynamo Moscow U19 24 9 2 13 39:46 29
11 Dynamo Makhachkala U19 24 7 3 14 32:56 24
12 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 24 6 5 13 33:55 23
13 Ural U19 24 6 4 14 29:51 22
14 FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19 24 5 4 15 29:64 19
15 Rubin Kazan U19 24 4 3 17 26:59 15
16 Fakel Voronezh U19 24 3 4 17 25:51 13
Relegation - Youth League (Relegation)