Sport Picks
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup Fakel Stadium, Voronezh 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Pusi B. In: Turishchev M.
Out: Pusi B.
46'
46'
Sub
Yakimov V. In: Netfullin R.
Out: Yakimov V.
57'
57'
Miranchuk An.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Dynamo Moscow have won more games recently than Fakel Voronezh.
- Dynamo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Dynamo Moscow arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Dynamo Moscow, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 13%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fakel Voronezh | Dynamo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 6 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 5, 2026 Russian Cup
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
3:1
Dec 10, 2023 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fakel Voronezh 14 / 100
Dynamo Moscow 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fakel Voronezh Dynamo Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fakel Voronezh found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).
Dynamo Moscow has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Fakel Voronezh remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fakel Voronezh VS Dynamo Moscow
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fakel Voronezh
(Home) 03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0 Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
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03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0 Vitebsk
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
22 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 Orenburg
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Dynamo Moscow
(Away) 04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
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17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
29 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 1 Dynamo Moscow
16 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0 Dynamo Moscow
05 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Dynamo Moscow
01 Aug
Baltika
2 : 1 Dynamo Moscow
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
