Sport Picks
Fakel Voronezh vs Orenburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League Fakel Stadium, Voronezh 
Match Events
35'
35'
Rybchinskiy D.
46'
46'
Sub
Bagamaev A. In: Giorgobiani N.
Out: Bagamaev A.
51'
51'
Puebla D.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orenburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fakel Voronezh haven't matched Orenburg's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Orenburg taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 21%
Orenburg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fakel Voronezh | Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Orenburg
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Orenburg vs Fakel Voronezh
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Orenburg
1:0
Mar 31, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Orenburg
0:0
Oct 21, 2023 Premier League
Orenburg vs Fakel Voronezh
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fakel Voronezh 20 / 100
Orenburg 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fakel Voronezh Orenburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Orenburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fakel Voronezh scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Orenburg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Fakel Voronezh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fakel Voronezh VS Orenburg
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fakel Voronezh
(Home) 10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5 Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0 Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5 Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0 Vitebsk
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 3
Orenburg
(Away) 10 Oct
Orenburg
4 : 0 Dynamo Makhachkala
03 Oct
Orenburg
3 : 2 Tekstilshtik
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 Orenburg
22 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 Orenburg
18 Aug
Rodina Moscow
1 : 4 Orenburg
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:18 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
