Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fakirerpool YMC vs Arambagh

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL Shahid Barkat Stadium, Gazipur
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Shanto M.
45'
Kahraba M.
45'
Obaidullah M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this BFL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Fakirerpool YMC
20%
Draws
64%
Arambagh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arambagh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Fakirerpool YMC have won more games recently than Arambagh.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular BFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 12%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakirerpool YMC Arambagh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.9 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 BFL
Arambagh vs Fakirerpool YMC
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Arambagh
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fakirerpool YMC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kahraba M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Arambagh Compare

Top Goalscorer Denapo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakirerpool YMC 35 / 100
Arambagh 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakirerpool YMC Arambagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arambagh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arambagh let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Arambagh has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Fakirerpool YMC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fakirerpool YMC VS Arambagh
0.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakirerpool YMC

(Home)
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
01 May
Abahani Limited Dhaka
2 : 0
Fakirerpool YMC
28 Apr
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
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Arambagh

(Away)
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
30 Apr
Brothers U.
2 : 2
Arambagh
24 Apr
Arambagh
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
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