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Falcon U20 vs Confianca U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falcon U20 in this Sergipano U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falcon U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Falcon U20
20%
Draws
19%
Confianca U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Falcon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Falcon U20 lately — more wins on the board than Confianca U20.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Falcon U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Falcon U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Falcon U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Confianca U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falcon U20 Confianca U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Sergipano U20
Falcon U20 vs Confianca U20
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Sergipano U20
Falcon U20 vs Confianca U20
2:1
May 19, 2024 Sergipano U20
Confianca U20 vs Falcon U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falcon U20 85 / 100
Confianca U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falcon U20 Confianca U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcon U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falcon U20 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Falcon U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Confianca U20 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Falcon U20 VS Confianca U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1.14
1 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Falcon U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Falcon U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
27 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju U20
1 : 1
Falcon U20
23 Sept
Falcon U20
5 : 0
Guarany SE U20
19 Sept
Itabaiana U20
0 : 4
Falcon U20
16 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 1
Confianca U20
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Confianca U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 2
Sergipe U20
26 Sept
Atletico Gloriense U20
0 : 3
Confianca U20
23 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 3
Desportiva Aracaju U20
19 Sept
Guarany SE U20
0 : 0
Confianca U20
16 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 1
Confianca U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)