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Falcon vs Carmopolis

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2024
Falcon Logo

Falcon

0 - 0
FT
Carmopolis Logo

Carmopolis

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2024 game between Falcon and Carmopolis finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Falcon
30%
Draws
9%
Carmopolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Falcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Carmopolis haven't matched Falcon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Falcon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Falcon Clean Sheet 68%
Carmopolis Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falcon Carmopolis
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 14 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.06 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2025 Sergipano
Falcon vs Carmopolis
3:2
Mar 2, 2024 Sergipano
Falcon vs Carmopolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falcon 95 / 100
Carmopolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falcon Carmopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falcon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falcon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Falcon's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Carmopolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Falcon VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Falcon

(Home)
23 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 0
Falcon
18 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
Atletico Gloriense
13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
America de Propria
08 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 1
Falcon
05 Aug
Falcon
2 : 0
Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 7

Carmopolis

(Away)
01 Mar
Guarany SE
2 : 1
Carmopolis
22 Feb
Carmopolis
1 : 1
Lagarto
15 Feb
Carmopolis
1 : 1
America de Propria
10 Feb
Falcon
3 : 2
Carmopolis
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Confianca 9 7 0 2 16:6 21
2 Sergipe 9 6 2 1 12:4 20
3 Lagarto 9 5 3 1 15:9 18
4 Itabaiana 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
5 Dorense 9 4 1 4 10:12 13
6 Falcon 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
7 America de Propria 9 3 2 4 13:10 11
8 Carmopolis 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Olimpico EC 9 2 1 6 7:12 7
10 Atletico Gloriense 9 1 0 8 6:22 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sergipano 2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)