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Falcon vs Desportiva Aracaju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Governo (Sergipe)
Falcon Logo

Falcon

2 - 0
FT
Desportiva Aracaju Logo

Desportiva Aracaju

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Diki
64' Event
Lopeu
83'
Anderson Uchoa
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Falcon
20%
Draws
45%
Desportiva Aracaju
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Desportiva Aracaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Desportiva Aracaju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Desportiva Aracaju arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Falcon, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Falcon Clean Sheet 20%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falcon Desportiva Aracaju
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Copa Governo (Sergipe)
Falcon vs Desportiva Aracaju
0:2
Aug 23, 2026 Copa Governo (Sergipe)
Desportiva Aracaju vs Falcon
0:0
Aug 5, 2026 Copa Governo (Sergipe)
Falcon vs Desportiva Aracaju
2:0
Feb 14, 2026 Sergipano
Falcon vs Desportiva Aracaju
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Diki
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopeu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Desportiva Aracaju Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falcon 32 / 100
Desportiva Aracaju 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falcon Desportiva Aracaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Falcon scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Falcon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Desportiva Aracaju let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Falcon VS Desportiva Aracaju
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Falcon

(Home)
30 Aug
Falcon
0 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju
23 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 0
Falcon
18 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
Atletico Gloriense
13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
America de Propria
08 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 1
Falcon
Page 1 of 6

Desportiva Aracaju

(Away)
30 Aug
Falcon
0 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju
23 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 0
Falcon
19 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
13 Aug
Guarany SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Desportiva Aracaju 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lagarto 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
4 Atletico Gloriense 5 1 3 1 6:3 6
5 Guarany SE 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
6 America de Propria 5 0 0 5 5:13 0
Promotion - Copa Governo (Sergipe) (Play Offs)