Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Jarju A.
77'
77'
Mbaye M.
AI Match Summary
The GFA League game between Falcons and BST Galaxy finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BST Galaxy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- BST Galaxy carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Falcons Clean Sheet 68%
BST Galaxy Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Falcons | BST Galaxy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 14 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 18, 2026 GFA League
Falcons vs BST Galaxy
1:1
Feb 3, 2026 GFA League
BST Galaxy vs Falcons
2:2
May 25, 2025 GFA League
BST Galaxy vs Falcons
0:2
Apr 25, 2025 GFA League
Falcons vs BST Galaxy
1:4
Mar 23, 2024 GFA League
BST Galaxy vs Falcons
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Falcons Compare
Top Goalscorer Jarju A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
BST Galaxy Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbaye M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Falcons 42 / 100
BST Galaxy 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Falcons BST Galaxy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: BST Galaxy conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Falcons scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Falcons went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Falcons VS BST Galaxy
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Falcons
(Home) 22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1 Hart Academy
16 Jun
Steve Biko
1 : 1 Falcons
11 Jun
Falcons
1 : 2 Fortune
04 Jun
Real Banjul
2 : 0 Falcons
25 May
Team Rhino
1 : 0 Falcons
Page 1 of 6
22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1 Hart Academy
11 Jun
Falcons
1 : 2 Fortune
18 May
Falcons
1 : 1 BST Galaxy
06 May
Falcons
0 : 1 Samger
18 Apr
Falcons
0 : 0 TMT
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BST Galaxy
(Away) 22 Jun
BST Galaxy
4 : 1 Bombada
16 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
0 : 1 BST Galaxy
11 Jun
BST Galaxy
2 : 2 Steve Biko
04 Jun
Fortune
4 : 0 BST Galaxy
25 May
BST Galaxy
0 : 1 Real Banjul
Page 1 of 6
16 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
0 : 1 BST Galaxy
04 Jun
Fortune
4 : 0 BST Galaxy
18 May
Falcons
1 : 1 BST Galaxy
12 May
Team Rhino
2 : 1 BST Galaxy
30 Apr
Samger
1 : 3 BST Galaxy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medina United | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 54 |
| 2 | Fortune | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 33:21 | 53 |
| 3 | Gambia Ports | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 26:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Bombada | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 36:32 | 44 |
| 5 | Brikama United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:33 | 43 |
| 6 | Real Banjul | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 30:25 | 41 |
| 7 | BST Galaxy | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 29:32 | 39 |
| 8 | Hart Academy | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 36:34 | 38 |
| 9 | Team Rhino | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 26:29 | 37 |
| 10 | Falcons | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 19:24 | 35 |
| 11 | Dutch Lions | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 12 | Greater Tomorrow | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:35 | 34 |
| 13 | Hawks | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 25:31 | 33 |
| 14 | TMT | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 20:29 | 33 |
| 15 | Samger | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 23:27 | 32 |
| 16 | Steve Biko | 30 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 24:28 | 30 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)
