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Falesti vs Speranis

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2023/2024 game between Falesti and Speranis finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Falesti
15%
Draws
68%
Speranis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Speranis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Speranis come out ahead of Falesti on wins alone.
  • Model gives Speranis a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%
Speranis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti Speranis
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
2:3
Oct 5, 2024 Liga 1
Falesti vs Speranis
3:0
Aug 23, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 10 / 100
Speranis 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti Speranis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Speranis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Falesti scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Speranis has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Falesti has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 7

Speranis

(Away)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Victoria
0 : 2
Speranis
17 May
Stauceni
0 : 1
Speranis
07 May
Speranis
3 : 1
Olimp Comrat
26 Apr
Vulturii Cutezatori
0 : 2
Speranis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 15 11 1 3 46:17 34
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 15 10 2 3 38:10 32
3 Speranta Drochia 15 6 3 6 14:15 21
4 Iskra Ribnita 15 6 3 6 24:32 21
5 FCM Ungheni 15 6 2 7 38:30 20
6 Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 15 0 1 14 6:62 1
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saksan 15 10 5 0 44:14 35
2 Univer Comrat 15 10 3 2 33:18 33
3 Speranis 15 5 4 6 26:28 19
4 Falesti 15 5 2 8 24:32 17
5 Olimp Comrat 15 4 5 6 19:24 17
6 Real Succes 15 1 1 13 14:44 4
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)