Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falkenberg vs Ostersund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Falcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Miljanovic D. In: Qasem A. A.
Out: Miljanovic D.
63'
Sub
Edwards C. In: Molls D.
Out: Edwards C.
71'
Sub
Nilsson M. In: Bertilsson N.
Out: Nilsson M.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Falkenberg and Ostersund finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Falkenberg
35%
Draws
24%
Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Falkenberg come out ahead of Ostersund on wins alone.
  • Falkenberg are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 68%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkenberg Ostersund
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Ostersund
0:0
May 9, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Falkenberg
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Ostersund
4:0
Jul 19, 2025 Superettan
Ostersund vs Falkenberg
3:1
Nov 13, 2022 Superettan
Ostersund vs Falkenberg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkenberg 50 / 100
Ostersund 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkenberg Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falkenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkenberg found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Ostersund conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Falkenberg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falkenberg VS Ostersund
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkenberg

(Home)
26 Oct
Orebro
1 : 0
Falkenberg
17 Oct
Falkenberg
4 : 3
Landskrona
11 Oct
Varnamo
1 : 2
Falkenberg
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
Page 1 of 6

Ostersund

(Away)
24 Oct
Ostersund
4 : 1
Nordic United
17 Oct
Sandviken
0 : 0
Ostersund
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
03 Oct
Rosenborg
2 : 0
Ostersund
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 28 19 5 4 58:18 62
2 Falkenberg 28 15 6 7 52:38 51
3 Ostersund 28 12 12 4 38:26 48
4 Varberg 28 13 8 7 46:35 47
5 Landskrona 28 12 8 8 46:33 44
6 Oddevold 28 11 9 8 48:37 42
7 Oster 28 13 3 12 46:45 42
8 Sandviken 28 11 8 9 46:36 41
9 Nordic United 28 10 9 9 41:47 39
10 Helsingborg 28 8 8 12 37:48 32
11 Varnamo 28 9 5 14 35:48 32
12 Ljungskile 28 7 9 12 35:40 30
13 Orebro 28 6 11 11 31:42 29
14 Norrby 28 5 12 11 31:41 27
15 Brage 28 6 8 14 45:55 26
16 Sundsvall 28 6 1 21 19:65 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)