Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Falkirk Stadium

Falkirk

0 - 1

Ayr

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Allan C.

25'

Sub

McAllister N. In: Mitchell K.

Out: McAllister N.

30'

Holt K.

Assist: Lyon R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ayr in this League Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Falkirk

22%

Draws

60%

Ayr

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Ayr haven't matched Falkirk's recent run of results.
Model gives Ayr a 60% chance of winning this.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal League Cup game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Ayr Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Falkirk	Ayr
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	11
Draws	1	6
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	2.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup

Falkirk vs Ayr

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Apr 11, 2025 Championship

Ayr vs Falkirk

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Feb 15, 2025 Championship

Falkirk vs Ayr

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Dec 14, 2024 Championship

Ayr vs Falkirk

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

5:2

Oct 5, 2024 Championship

Falkirk vs Ayr

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falkirk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Holt K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 18 / 100

Ayr 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Falkirk Ayr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ayr has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Falkirk's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Falkirk has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Ayr

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

2.75 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Queen's Park	2	2	0	5:1	6
2	Aberdeen	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Kelty Hearts	2	1	1	1:3	2
4	Queen of the South	1	0	1	1:1	1
5	Brora Rangers	2	0	2	1:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Stirling	2	1	1	3:2	3
2	Arbroath	1	1	0	2:1	3
3	Montrose	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Dundee Utd	2	1	1	1:1	3
5	Spartans	2	0	2	2:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Mirren	1	1	0	4:0	3
2	East Kilbride	2	1	1	5:3	3
3	Cove Rangers	1	1	0	3:2	3
4	Dunfermline	2	1	1	4:4	3
5	Dumbarton	2	0	2	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Dundee FC	2	2	0	9:2	6
2	Ross County	1	1	0	4:1	3
3	Clyde	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Airdrieonians	2	0	2	2:5	0
5	Annan	2	0	2	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Partick	2	2	0	10:0	6
2	Livingston	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Stenhousemuir	1	1	0	2:0	3
4	Forfar Athletic	2	0	2	0:6	0
5	Brechin	2	0	2	0:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	East Fife	2	1	1	3:1	4
2	St Johnstone	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Linlithgow Rose	2	1	1	1:2	3
4	Inverness	1	1	0	1:1	2
5	Morton	2	0	2	0:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Ayr	2	2	0	4:2	6
2	Falkirk	2	1	1	5:1	3
3	Edinburgh City	2	1	1	2:5	3
4	Stranraer	1	0	1	2:3	0
5	Alloa	1	0	1	0:2	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Raith	2	1	1	3:1	4
2	Peterhead	2	1	1	3:2	3
3	Hamilton	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Kilmarnock	1	1	0	0:0	2
5	Elgin City	2	0	2	2:6	0