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Falkirk vs Celtic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falkirk host Celtic in the Premiership. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Falkirk have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Celtic's 2.19 scored and 1.39 conceded. Past meetings favor Celtic slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring Celtic. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Falkirk
20%
Draws
34%
Celtic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Falkirk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Falkirk haven't matched Celtic's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Celtic have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 20%
Celtic Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falkirk Celtic
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.46 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
3:1
Feb 1, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
2:0
Jan 14, 2026 Premiership
Falkirk vs Celtic
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 Premiership
Celtic vs Falkirk
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falkirk 36 / 100
Celtic 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falkirk Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falkirk scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Celtic let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Falkirk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falkirk VS Celtic
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Falkirk

(Home)
17 Oct
Hibernian
1 : 2
Falkirk
10 Oct
Falkirk
1 : 2
Dundee FC
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
15 Sept
Falkirk
2 : 1
Hearts
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

Celtic

(Away)
22 Oct
Celtic
1 : 2
Celta Vigo
18 Oct
Celtic
7 : 1
Hearts
15 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1
Celtic
11 Oct
Motherwell
0 : 2
Celtic
20 Sept
Celtic
0 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 9 8 0 1 23:5 24
2 Rangers 9 6 2 1 13:7 20
3 Hearts 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
4 Dundee FC 9 4 2 3 13:10 14
5 St Johnstone 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
6 Dundee Utd 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
7 Aberdeen 9 3 2 4 10:10 11
8 St. Mirren 9 3 1 5 9:17 10
9 Falkirk 9 2 3 4 9:12 9
10 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
11 Kilmarnock 9 2 2 5 10:20 8
12 Hibernian 9 2 1 6 9:14 7
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)